關於選擇 未來總猜不到

Two years ago, when the Golden State Warriors won their first NBAchampionship since 1975, there was a lot of talk about luck. Most of it seemed to be harmless jabbing or taken out of context.

兩年前，當金州勇士拿下自1975年來首個總冠軍時，有很多關於運氣的言論。大多數言論看起來都是一些沒有意義的或者斷章取義。

This time, let's be clear: The Warriors, perhaps en route to becoming a dynasty and even the greatest team in history, have enjoyed their share of good fortune.

這次，我們必須清楚一點，勇士正在建立王朝的道路上，甚至是在成爲歷史上最偉大的球隊，他們享受着他們的好運。

This is not, by any stretch, a knock on what they've achieved. Every great team needs a little genie rub here and there.

無論如何，這不是敲打或者貶低他們所取得的成就。每個偉大的球隊都需要一點點好運在這裏和那裏伴隨。

It drafted the core of Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson, who have all exceeded the expectations anyone had for them coming into the league. For the most part, they've made their own luck. But the thing about luck is that it can be easy to push.

球隊打造庫裏、德雷蒙德-格林以及克萊-湯普森爲核心，他們都超出了初入聯盟時人們對他們的期望。大多數情況下，他們都是自己的幸運兒但是關於幸運這件事，它很容易被人們繼續推着。

Keep pressing the bet, and you're bound to take a bad beat. Which brings us to the recent rumors that Golden State could be gearing up for a run at Paul George, a free agent next summer.

繼續壓下賭注，你終究會打得很糟糕。這就有了最近的謠言說金州勇士隊有可能爲明年夏天追逐自由球員保羅-喬治做準備。

Just for argument's sake, let's say the Warriors could get George next summer, but it would ultimately cost them Thompson. George is probably — probably — better than Thompson, and that reason alone, on some level, would make such a hypothetical move intriguing.

以下僅僅是作爲論據：我們說勇士在明年夏天可能得到喬治，這最終可能會犧牲掉湯普森。喬治可能——也許比湯普森更好。在某種程度上，那種理由是存在的，這就使得這種假設變得更加有趣，激發人們的好奇心。

But the Warriors are at a point now where they could become a lesser team by upgrading players, as little sense as that might make.

但是，勇士有可能到了升級球員反而會讓他們變得更弱的階段。

Curry, Thompson and Green grew up together, learning how to complement each other and win together. Durant fit in around them, not over them — even though he's the best player among the four.

庫裏、湯普森、格林在一起成長，學會如何去互補對方，一起獲得比賽的勝利，杜蘭特正在適應他們，而不是高於、超出他們——即便他是四個人裏面最好的球員。

The sum of the Warriors has become something so perfect that it is by nature fragile. You could never plan a team like this. It just has to happen. And when it does, you don't screw with it.

勇士的團隊已經變得如此完美，以致於它本質上是很脆弱的。你永遠都不會打造出像勇士一樣的一支球隊。它只是必須發生。而且當它產生的時候，你不要去束縛它。

George is an elite player. If Thompson, a free agent in 2019, gets tired of being the third wheel and signs elsewhere, knowing they passed on George — or any great player — might be hard for the Warriors to swallow.

喬治是一名傑出的球員。如果湯普森2019成爲自由球員，他厭倦了成爲第三軸心，想簽約其他球隊，知道他們追琢喬治——或者任何偉大的球員——這對勇士來說，很難拿下。

Now that they've become the league's glamour franchise, there will be plenty of great players who would love to play with them. The more options you have, particularly in a league where power moves are becoming the norm, the more difficult it can be to stay the course.

現在他們已經成爲聯盟的老大，有很多偉大的球員願意和他們一起打球。特別是在一個球星流動已經成爲常態的聯盟中，你擁有的選擇越多，你就越難以堅持下去留隊。

But simply doing their due diligence on available players doesn't make them different than any other team. What does make them different is that all those other teams are scouring the landscape to try to put together a team like the Warriors already have.

但簡單地對現有可得到的球員進行追逐並不會使他們與其他球隊有什麼不同。讓他們與衆不同的是，所有其他球隊都在效仿勇士，試圖組建一支像勇士隊這樣的球隊。

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