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市場人士 油價即將告別低迷期

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The heads of the world’s largest oil trading houses called an end to a near two-year price slump yesterday as Brent crude rose to its highest level of 2016.

市場人士 油價即將告別低迷期

全球各大石油交易機構的掌門人昨日預計持續近兩年的油價低迷即將結束,同時布倫特(Brent)原油價格升至今年最高水平。

Vitol, Trafigura, Mercuria, Gunvor, Glencore and Castleton, which sell enough oil to meet almost a fifth of global demand, were all but unanimous in telling a Financial Times conference in Lausanne that oil prices were unlikely to revisit the sub-$30 lows of January.

在英國《金融時報》在瑞士洛桑舉行的一次會議上,Vitol、Trafigura、Mercuria、Gunvor、嘉能可(Glencore)和Castleton幾乎一致表示,油價不太可能重新跌回1月每桶30美元以下的低點。這些機構銷售的石油足以滿足全球近五分之一的需求。

Brent crude, the international benchmark, climbed by nearly 4 per cent to a four-month high of almost $45 a barrel amid mounting expectation of a deal to freeze production at this weekend’s Opec summit.

國際油價基準布倫特原油價格昨日上漲近4%,達到每桶近45美元的4個月高點,越來越多的人預期,本週末的石油輸出國組織(Opec,簡稱歐佩克)峯會將達成一項凍結產量的協議。

Igor Sechin, the head of the Kremlin-backed oil company Rosneft, echoed the traders’ view, and argued that a price of at least $50 a barrel was needed to avert future supply shortages. “The oil price is growing. I think everyone is expecting the successful outcome of our work,” Mr Sechin told the FT conference, in an apparent reference to a possible deal. “We will need higher price levels than $45 or even $50 a barrel.”

俄羅斯政府支持的俄羅斯石油公司(Rosneft)首席執行官伊戈爾•謝欣(Igor Sechin)呼應了上述交易機構的觀點,認爲要避免未來的供應短缺,油價需要至少達到每桶50美元。謝欣在英國《金融時報》的這次會議上表示:“油價在上漲。我認爲,所有人都期待我們的工作取得成功的結果,”他這裏顯然指的是有望達成一項協議。“我們將需要比每桶45美元甚至50美元更高的價格。”

The remarks came ahead of a weekend meeting in Qatar when Opec kingpin Saudi Arabia and other big oil producers, including Russia and Venezuela, will try to freeze output in a bid to hasten the end of an oil glut. This would be the first significant concerted action to stabilise prices since the oil price went into freefall in late 2014.

他是在歐佩克本週末在卡塔爾召開峯會之前發表上述言論的,屆時歐佩克老大沙特阿拉伯以及包括俄羅斯和委內瑞拉在內的其他大型產油國將試圖凍結產出,以加快結束石油供應過剩局面。這將是自2014年末油價暴跌以來的首項穩定油價的重大聯合舉措。

Mr Sechin did not directly address the Opec meeting but said that there were signs that the market was tightening already as US output contracted.

謝欣沒有直接談到歐佩克會議,但他表示,有跡象表明,隨着美國產出收縮,市場已在趨緊。