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科學家預測人類將能活到1000歲

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If Aubrey de Grey's predictions are right, the first person who will live to see their 150th birthday has already been born. And the first person to live for 1,000 years could be less than 20 years younger.

如果奧布里德格雷的預測是正確的話,第一個能夠活到150歲的人已經出生了。第一個能活1000年的人可能比能活到150歲的人年輕不到20歲。

科學家預測人類將能活到1000歲

  Who wants to live forever? Scientist sees aging cured

  科學家預測人類將能活到1000歲

A biomedical gerontologistand chief scientist of a foundation dedicated to longevity research, de Grey reckons that within his own lifetime doctors could have all the tools they need to "cure" aging -- banishing diseases that come with it and extending life indefinitely.

據一個致力於長壽研究的基金會的首席科學家、老年生物醫學專家德格雷估算,在他有生之年,醫生能夠掌握一切 “治療”衰老所需的方法,能夠驅除伴隨衰老而來的疾病,並無限期地延長壽命。

"I'd say we have a 50/50 chance of bringing aging under what I'd call a decisive level of medical control within the next 25 years or so," de Grey said in an interview before delivering a lecture at Britain's Royal Institution academy of science.

德格雷在英國皇家科學院的一次講課前接受的訪談中說:“我敢說,我們有50%的機率可以在未來大約25年內對衰老實現決定性的醫療控制。”

"And what I mean by decisive is the same sort of medical control that we have over most infectious diseases today."

“我所指的‘決定性’醫療控制和我們對現在大多數傳染性疾病採用的醫療控制是同一性質的。”De Grey sees a time when people will go to their doctors for regular "maintenance," which by then will include gene therapies, stem cell therapies, immune stimulation and a range of other advanced medical techniques to keep them in good shape.

德格雷認爲未來有一天人們會去找醫生定期做“保養”,讓自己保持良好的身體狀態,那時保養將包括基因療法、幹細胞療法、免疫刺激和其他各種先進的醫療技術。

De Grey lives near Cambridge University where he won his doctorate in 2000 and is chief scientific officerof the non-profit California-based SENS (Strategies for Engineered NegligibleSenescence) Foundation, which he co-founded in 2009.

德格雷現在住在劍橋大學附近,他於2000年在劍橋大學獲得博士學位,現在是位於加州的非盈利機構桑斯(微衰老操控策略)基金會的科技總監,他在2009年合夥創建了這一基金會。

He describes aging as the lifelong accumulation of various types of molecular and cellular damage throughout the body.

他把衰老描述爲周身各種分子和細胞的損傷在一生中的累積。

"The idea is to engage in what you might call preventative geriatrics, where you go in to periodically repair that molecular and cellular damage before it gets to the level of abundance that is pathogenic," he explained.

他解釋說:“我的想法是在你體內的分子和細胞損傷積累達到致病程度之前就定期去做修復,你們可能將這稱爲預防性老年醫學。”

For some, the prospect of living for hundreds of years is not particularly attractive, either, as it conjures upan image of generations of sick, weak old people and societies increasingly less able to cope.

對某些人而言,能活上幾百年的前景並不是特別吸引人,因爲它讓人想起一代代社會日益無法承載的病弱老人們。

But de Grey says that's not what he's working for. Keepingthe killer diseases of old age at bayis the primary focus.

不過德格雷說,長命百歲不是他的奮鬥目標,預防致命老年疾病纔是他主要的工作重點。

"This is absolutely not a matter of keeping people alive in a bad state of health," he told Reuters. "This is about preventing people from getting sick as a result of old age. The particular therapies that we are working on will only deliver long life as a side effect of delivering better health."

他告訴路透社說:“這絕對不是要讓人們病歪歪地活着,而是要防止人們患上老年疾病。我們所鑽研的特殊療法所帶來的長壽人生只是健康狀況改善的附帶影響。”