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人工智能大發展 50%職業未來將消失

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From self-driving cars to carebots for elderly people, rapid advances in technology have long represented a potential threat to many jobs normally performed by people.

從自動駕駛汽車到爲老年人設計的看護機器人,長期以來,對於某些通常由人類完成的工作來說,技術的迅猛發展一直是一個潛在的威脅。

But experts now believe that almost 50 per cent of occupations existing today will be completely redundant by 2025 as artificial intelligence continues to transform businesses.

而現在,專家相信,隨着人工智能對商業的不斷改變,到2025年,有近50%的現有職業將是完全多餘的。

A revolutionary shift in the way workplaces operate is expected to take place over the next 10 to 15 years, which could put some people's livelihoods at risk.

在未來10-15年,職場的運作方式將發生一場變革,而這會威脅到一些人的生計。

人工智能大發展 50%職業未來將消失

Customer work, process work and vast swatches of middle management will simply 'disappear', according to a new report by consulting firm CBRE and China-based Genesis.

根據諮詢公司CBRE和立足中國的Genesis公司的一項最新報告,客服、加工和大量的中層管理工作將會“消失”。

'Experts predict that 50 per cent of occupations today will no longer exist by 2025 as people will take up more creative professions,' said Martin Chen, Chief Operating Officer of Genesis.

Genesis首席運營官馬丁·陳說:“專家預計,到2025年,50%的現有職業將不復存在,人們則會從事更富創造性的工作。”

'This means that jobs will evolve and so will real estate development.'

“這意味着工作會發生演變,房地產也會得到發展。”

Workspaces with rows of desks will become completely redundant, not because they are not fit for purpose, but simply because that purpose no longer exists, according to the report.

報告顯示,成排擺放辦公桌的工作場所將變得完全多餘,這不是因爲不符合實際用途的需要,而是因爲需要本身已不復存在。

'The next fifteen years will see a revolution in how we work, and a corresponding revolution will necessarily take place on how we plan and think about workplaces,' said Peter Andrew, Director of Workplace Strategy for CBRE Asia Pacific.

CBRE亞太地區職場戰略總監皮特·安德魯說:“未來15年將見證我們工作方式上的革命,與之相應的,在我們對於職場的規劃和考量方面,也必然會有所改革。”

A growing proportion of jobs in the future will require creativity intelligence, social skills and the ability to leverage artificial intelligence.

在未來,越來越多的工作要求創造性智慧、社交技能和利用人工智能技術的能力。

'And for most people that will be a route to happiness and fulfilment,' the report states.

報告指出:“對於大多數人來說,會有獲得快樂和成就感的途徑。”

'For many of us, artificial intelligence will be a tool to undertake tasks of a scale and complexity that were once unimaginable but which are now eminently possible and hugely rewarding.'

“對於我們中的許多人來講,人工智能將成爲一種用於承接任務的工具。從規模和複雜程度的角度出發,這些任務曾經是難以想象的,但現在已經極有可能完成並且具有極大的價值。”

The report - Fast Forward 2030: The Future of Work and the Workplace - is based on interviews with 200 experts, business leaders and young people from Asia Pacific, Europe and North America.

報告《快進2030:工作和職場的未來》是基於對亞太地區、歐洲和北美的200位專家、商界領袖和年輕人的採訪撰寫而成的。

Data in the US suggests that technology already destroys more jobs than it creates, as GDP has been able to grow faster than employment since 2000.

美國的數據表明,2000年以來,GDP的增長超過了就業率的增長,從而可以看出,技術毀掉的職業已經超過了其創造的職業。

But the report states: 'Losing occupations does not necessarily mean losing jobs – just changing what people do.'

不過報告指出:“失去職業並不等於丟掉工作,這只是改變了人們所做的是什麼。”

TOP 20 JOBS AT MOST AND LEAST RISK OF BEING REPLACED BY ROBOTS

機器人最有可能替代和最不可能替代的20個職業

Jobs most at risk of being replaced

最有可能被替代的職業

Jobs least at risk of being replaced

最不可能被替代的職業

1) Telemarketers

1)電話營銷員

1) Chiropractors

1)脊椎指壓治療師

2) Title Examiners, abstractors and searchers

2)標題審查員、摘錄員和搜索員

2) Biochemists and biophysicists

2)生物化學家和生物物理學家

3) People working in sewers

3)下水道工

3) Electronics engineers, except computers

3)電子工程師(電腦除外)

4) Mathematical technicians

4)數學技術員

4) Directors, religious activities and education

4)主管(宗教活動和教育)

5) Insurance underwriters

5)保險承銷商

5) Supervisors of correctional officers

5)懲教官主管

6) Watch repairers

6)修表工

6) Art directors

6)藝術總監

7) Cargo and freight agents

7)貨運代理人

7) Orthodontists

7)矯形牙醫

8) Tax preparers

8)報稅員

8) Interior designers

8)室內設計師

9) Photographic process workers

9)攝影加工員

9) Producers and directors

9)製片人和導演

10) New accounts clerks

10)負責新開賬戶的職員

10) Photographers

10)攝影師

11) Library Technicians

11)圖書管理員

11) Physical therapists

11)理療師

12) Data entry keyers

12)數據輸入員

12) Fashion designers

12)服裝設計師

13) Timing device assemblers

13)定時裝置裝配工

13) Materials engineers

13)材料工程師

14) Insurance claims

14)保險理賠

14) Materials scientists

14)材料科學家

15) Brokerage clerks

15)經紀業務員

15) Soil and plant scientists

15)土壤和植物科學家

16) Order clerks

16)訂單管理員

16) Health diagnosing and treating practitioners

16)健康診斷和治療醫生

17) Loan officers

17)貸款員

17) Civil engineers

17)土木工程師

18) Insurance appraisers

18)保險鑑定人

18) Physical therapist assistants

18)理療師助理

19) Umpires, Referees, and sports officials

19)裁判員和體育運動官員

19) Architects, except Landscape and naval

19)建築師(景觀和造船除外)

20) Tellers

20)出納員

20) Environmental Engineers

20)環境工程師