世界發聲英國脫歐是悲劇性的分裂
How to minimise the damage ofBritain’s senseless, self-inflicted blow
如何將英國這一無意義的自我打擊造成的傷害最小化
HOW quickly the unthinkable became the irreversible. A year agofew people imagined that the legions of Britons who love to whinge about theEuropean Union—silly regulations, bloated budgets and pompous bureaucrats—wouldactually vote to leave the club of countries that buy nearly half of Britain’sexports. Yet, by the early hours of June 24th, it was clear that votershad ignored the warnings of economists, allies and their own government and,after more than four decades in the EU, were about to step boldly into the unknown.
從難以想象到覆水難收，事情的發展是多麼地迅速。一年前幾乎沒有人能想到，大量喜歡抱怨歐盟規章制度愚蠢、預算龐大、充斥浮華官僚主義等種種問題的英國人，竟然真的會投票退出這個佔英國出口近一半的國傢俱樂部。然而，在6月24日凌晨，選民們顯然已經忽略了來自經濟學家、盟國以及本國政府的警告，在加入歐盟四十餘年後，即將大膽地踏入未知。
We believe that he or she should opt for a Norwegian-style dealthat gives full access to the world’s biggest single market, but maintains theprinciple of the free movement of people. The reason is that this wouldmaximise prosperity. And the supposed cost—migration—is actually beneficial, asLeave campaigners themselves have said. European migrants are net contributorsto public finances, so they more than pay their way for their use of health andeducation services. Without migrants from the EU, schools, hospitals andindustries such as farming and the building trade would be short of labour.
我們相信他或她應該選擇一個挪威式的交易，這將給予英國進入世界最大單一市場的完全自由，但同時維持人口自由流動的規定。原因是這樣做將會使繁榮最大化。而且所謂的成本——人口遷移——實際上是有好處的，那些退歐領導者自己也這樣說。歐州人移民對公共財政是淨貢獻者，如果沒有來自歐盟的移民，那麼學校、醫院和農業、建築業這類行業就將出現勞工短缺。
Preventing Frexit
防止法國退歐
The hard task will be telling Britons who voted to Leave that the free havingand eating of cake is not an option. The new prime minister will faceaccusations of selling out—for the simple reason that he or she will indeedhave to break a promise, whether over migration or the economy. That is whyvoters must confirm any deal, preferably in a general election rather thananother referendum. This may be easier to win than seems possible today. Whilea deal is being done, the economy will suffer and immigration will fall of itsown accord.
支持退歐的英國人將會面臨的艱鉅任務是天上掉餡餅並不現實。新首相將會面臨違反諾言的指控——原因很簡單，他或她必將違背一個承諾，無論是在移民或是經濟方面，難以兩全。這就是爲什麼選民們必須確認所有交易，最好是在大選而不是其他全民公投。這個交易獲得成功可能比今天的公投還容易。當交易完成時，經濟將會遭到衝擊，移民也將自行減少。
