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安倍寄望經濟增長解決債務問題

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Ski instructors are among the foreign workers who could find it easier to live in Japan after the government revealed an economic strategy that pledges a three-year dash for growth and no extra tightening of fiscal policy until 2018 or beyond.

日本政府已公佈一項經濟戰略,承諾將用3年時間促進經濟增長,同時到2018年(或者更晚)之前不會提出更多財政緊縮政策。

The draft plan, expected to be approved by Japan’s cabinet next week, shows Shinzo Abe, prime minister, is betting on higher growth rather than fiscal measures to tackle the world’s largest public debt of 246 per cent of gross domestic product.

預計日本內閣將在下週批准該計劃草案,這項計劃表明日本首相安倍晉三(Shinzo Abe)正押注於經濟更快增長,而非財政舉措,以應對該國高比例的公共債務,日本公共債務佔國內生產總值(GDP)246%,爲全球最高。

安倍寄望經濟增長解決債務問題

It outlines several measures to add to the “third arrow” of Mr Abe’s stimulus strategy, which is aimed at boosting growth — including a revamp of national universities and allowing the tourist and IT industries to hire foreign workers — and shows his determination not to choke the economy with a premature fiscal squeeze.

該計劃概述了加入安倍晉三刺激戰略“第三隻箭”的幾項舉措,其經濟戰略旨在促進增長(包括國內大學實行改革,以及允許旅遊和IT行業聘用外國員工),同時體現了安倍晉三不用不成熟的財政緊縮遏制經濟的決心。

The fiscal strategy contains no big spending cuts or revenue rises beyond the 2 percentage point rise in consumption tax already planned for 2017.

除了原本計劃的在2017年將消費稅上調2個基點之外,這項財政戰略不包括任何大規模支出削減或增稅措施。

While some analysts have criticised the government’s rosy economic assumptions — including faster growth in Japan than the US — the strategy suggests Mr Abe’s cabinet office has won a bureaucratic turf war against the finance ministry’s wish for rapid fiscal tightening.

儘管一些分析人士批評日本政府的樂觀經濟設想(包括日本經濟增速超過美國),但該戰略表明,安倍晉三內閣在與日本財務省計劃實行快速財政緊縮的交鋒中已獲勝。

Rather than prescribing tax rises or spending cuts, the strategy describes 2016-2018 as the “period of intensive reform” aimed at boosting growth, ending deflation and restraining social security spending. The government will revisit fiscal policy in 2018.

該戰略將2016年至2018年描述爲旨在促進增長、結束通縮以及限制社會保障支出的“集中改革期”。日本政府將於2018年評估財政政策。